, , OPTIMIZATION MODELLING AS A TOOL FOR MANAGING THE ECONOMIC STABILITY OF REGIONS // BSU bulletin. Economy and Management. - 2018. №4. . - С. 99-107.

OPTIMIZATION MODELLING AS A TOOL FOR MANAGING THE ECONOMIC STABILITY OF REGIONS

DOI: 10.18101/2304-4446-2018-4-99-107 UDK: 338.242

The article presents an optimization model for managing the economic stability of the re- gion. The developed model makes it possible to diagnose the hazard index, analyze the dy- namics of its change, evaluate the contribution of one or another indicator for given thresh- old and optimal values to the overall situation. For modelling we used indicators of eco- nomic stability in the context of the main spheres of life: investments, production, science and employment. Testing was based on the statistics data of Sverdlovsk Oblast for 2001– 2016. We gave an example of calculating the hazard index as an integral, which allows as- sessing the hazard level for the studied set of indicators. Calculations were made for the three options of indicators. An analysis of the dynamics of the hazard index for the third op- tion makes it possible to trace the growth of crisis phenomena in the economic state for 2007–2009.

economic security; optimization; model; management; region; investment security; industrial security; scientific and technical security; labor market; indicator; hazard index.